Mladost Zdralovi vs HNK Segesta

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Mladost Zdralovi

HNK Segesta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.05 DRAW 27.9% 3.28 AWAY 27.4% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: HNK Segesta

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mladost Zdralovi HNK Segesta

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mladost Zdralovi HNK Segesta

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Mladost Zdralovi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mladost Zdralovi HNK Segesta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mladost Zdralovi ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

HNK Segesta = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.