NK Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia

18 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

NK Sesvete

HNK Cibalia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.05 DRAW 29.3% 3.15 AWAY 25.6% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: HNK Cibalia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Sesvete HNK Cibalia

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Sesvete HNK Cibalia

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Sesvete HNK Cibalia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

NK Sesvete ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

HNK Cibalia ↑ +0.30 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.