Polonia Nysa vs Miedz Legnica II

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Polonia Nysa

Miedz Legnica II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 54.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.35 DRAW 21.2% 4.58 AWAY 49.8% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Miedz Legnica II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.0% win probability, compared with 49.8% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Miedz Legnica II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Polonia Nysa Miedz Legnica II

Shots 5.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Miedz Legnica II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Polonia Nysa Miedz Legnica II

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Polonia Nysa Miedz Legnica II

The combined recent performance profile favours Miedz Legnica II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Polonia Nysa ↑ +0.03 (+0.8%)

Miedz Legnica II ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.