CD FAS vs AD Isidro Metapan

01 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

CD FAS

AD Isidro Metapan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% 2.05 DRAW 28.5% 3.55 AWAY 22.2% 4.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AD Isidro Metapan relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.8% win probability, compared with 22.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AD Isidro Metapan

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD FAS AD Isidro Metapan

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD FAS AD Isidro Metapan

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.5

AD Isidro Metapan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD FAS AD Isidro Metapan

The combined recent performance profile favours AD Isidro Metapan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD FAS ↑ +0.05 (+2.5%)

AD Isidro Metapan ↑ +1.25 (+37.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.