CD Aguila vs Internacional Santa Tecla

30 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

CD Aguila

Internacional Santa Tecla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 2.05 DRAW 26.8% 3.64 AWAY 25.6% 3.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Aguila

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Aguila Internacional Santa Tecla

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Internacional Santa Tecla, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Aguila Internacional Santa Tecla

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0

CD Aguila has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Aguila Internacional Santa Tecla

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Aguila ↓ -0.35 (-14.6%)

Internacional Santa Tecla ↑ +1.17 (+44.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.