CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Aguila

27 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo

CD Aguila

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 28.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.13 DRAW 28.6% 3.25 AWAY 27.8% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Aguila

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Aguila

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Aguila

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

CD Aguila has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo CD Aguila

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Luis Angel Firpo ↑ +0.09 (+4.4%)

CD Aguila ↑ +0.09 (+2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.