AD Isidro Metapan vs CD Cacahuatique

27 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

AD Isidro Metapan

CD Cacahuatique

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% 1.49 DRAW 23.3% 4.06 AWAY 13.1% 7.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

AD Isidro Metapan has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD Isidro Metapan CD Cacahuatique

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours AD Isidro Metapan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD Isidro Metapan CD Cacahuatique

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

AD Isidro Metapan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD Isidro Metapan CD Cacahuatique

The combined recent performance profile favours AD Isidro Metapan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AD Isidro Metapan ↓ -0.63 (-29.7%)

CD Cacahuatique ↑ +4.15 (+136.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.