Municipal Limeno vs CD FAS

28 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Municipal Limeno

CD FAS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.05 DRAW 29.1% 3.21 AWAY 40.4% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Municipal Limeno clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.7% win probability, compared with 30.6% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Municipal Limeno has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Limeno CD FAS

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Municipal Limeno, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Limeno CD FAS

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Municipal Limeno has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Limeno CD FAS

The combined recent performance profile favours Municipal Limeno.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Municipal Limeno = (0.0%)

CD FAS ↑ +0.30 (+14.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.