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El Salvador Apertura · SV

Alianza FC vs CD Platense Zacatecoluca

01 Oct 2026 · 03:00
SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp
Alianza FC
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
HOME 49.0% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 22.8%
HOME 45.3% 1.97 DRAW 28.8% 3.10 AWAY 25.9% 3.45

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Alianza FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.0% win probability, compared with 45.3% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Alianza FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Alianza FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca
Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Alianza FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Alianza FC CD Platense Zacatecoluca

The combined recent performance profile favours Alianza FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alianza FC = (0.0%)
CD Platense Zacatecoluca = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.