Atlético Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Atlético Balboa

CD Cacahuatique

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 28.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.28 DRAW 27.6% 3.50 AWAY 29.9% 3.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atlético Balboa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atlético Balboa CD Cacahuatique

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Atlético Balboa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atlético Balboa CD Cacahuatique

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

CD Cacahuatique has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atlético Balboa CD Cacahuatique

The combined recent performance profile favours Atlético Balboa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Atlético Balboa ↓ -0.15 (-6.2%)

CD Cacahuatique ↑ +0.58 (+22.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.