Internacional Santa Tecla vs Atlético Balboa

27 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Internacional Santa Tecla

Atlético Balboa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.2% 1.60 DRAW 24.9% 3.80 AWAY 15.9% 5.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atlético Balboa

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Internacional Santa Tecla Atlético Balboa

Shots 6.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Atlético Balboa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Internacional Santa Tecla Atlético Balboa

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Internacional Santa Tecla Atlético Balboa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Internacional Santa Tecla ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

Atlético Balboa ↑ +1.44 (+32.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.