CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Atlético Balboa

21 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo

Atlético Balboa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.0% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 12.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% 1.45 DRAW 22.7% 4.13 AWAY 12.6% 7.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo Atlético Balboa

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Luis Angel Firpo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo Atlético Balboa

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo Atlético Balboa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD Luis Angel Firpo ↑ +0.01 (+0.9%)

Atlético Balboa ↑ +1.10 (+16.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.