Paranavai vs FC Cascavel

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Paranavai

FC Cascavel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.80 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 23.1% 3.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Cascavel has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paranavai FC Cascavel

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Cascavel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paranavai FC Cascavel

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5

FC Cascavel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paranavai FC Cascavel

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Cascavel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Paranavai ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

FC Cascavel ↑ +0.05 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.