AC Colina vs Real Juventud San Joaquin

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

AC Colina

Real Juventud San Joaquin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.75 DRAW 24.2% 3.84 AWAY 22.7% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real Juventud San Joaquin

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Colina Real Juventud San Joaquin

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Real Juventud San Joaquin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Colina Real Juventud San Joaquin

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.5

AC Colina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Colina Real Juventud San Joaquin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AC Colina ↓ -0.20 (-10.3%)

Real Juventud San Joaquin ↑ +0.80 (+24.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.