Club Circulo Deportivo vs Germinal de Rawson

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Club Circulo Deportivo

Germinal de Rawson

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.81 DRAW 27.8% 3.29 AWAY 21.8% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Germinal de Rawson has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Circulo Deportivo Germinal de Rawson

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Circulo Deportivo Germinal de Rawson

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Germinal de Rawson has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Circulo Deportivo Germinal de Rawson

The combined recent performance profile favours Germinal de Rawson.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Circulo Deportivo = (0.0%)

Germinal de Rawson = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.