Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina Tandil

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Rincon

Santamarina Tandil

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 10.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.0% 1.47 DRAW 24.3% 4.00 AWAY 9.7% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Rincon

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Rincon Santamarina Tandil

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Rincon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Rincon Santamarina Tandil

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Rincon Santamarina Tandil

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Rincon ↓ -0.06 (-3.9%)

Santamarina Tandil ↓ -1.10 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.