CA Alvarado vs Olimpo B Blanca

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

CA Alvarado

Olimpo B Blanca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% DRAW 35.6% AWAY 22.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.34 DRAW 34.9% 2.70 AWAY 24.8% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Alvarado

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Alvarado Olimpo B Blanca

Shots 16.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours CA Alvarado, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Alvarado Olimpo B Blanca

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Olimpo B Blanca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Alvarado Olimpo B Blanca

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Alvarado.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Alvarado ↑ +0.41 (+21.2%)

Olimpo B Blanca ↓ -0.53 (-12.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.