CA Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

CA Douglas Haig

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 15.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% 1.81 DRAW 30.2% 3.15 AWAY 17.3% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Douglas Haig

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Douglas Haig Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Douglas Haig, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Douglas Haig Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Douglas Haig Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Douglas Haig.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Douglas Haig ↓ -0.16 (-8.1%)

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy ↑ +1.60 (+41.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.