Juventud Unida Universitario vs San Martin de Mendoza

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Juventud Unida Universitario

San Martin de Mendoza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% 1.96 DRAW 31.1% 3.00 AWAY 21.2% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Martin de Mendoza

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Unida Universitario San Martin de Mendoza

Shots 5.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours San Martin de Mendoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Unida Universitario San Martin de Mendoza

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Juventud Unida Universitario has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Unida Universitario San Martin de Mendoza

The combined recent performance profile favours Juventud Unida Universitario.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Juventud Unida Universitario ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

San Martin de Mendoza ↑ +0.34 (+8.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.