CA Costa Brava vs Sol de Mayo

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

CA Costa Brava

Sol de Mayo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.2% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% 1.45 DRAW 24.1% 3.90 AWAY 11.1% 8.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sol de Mayo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Costa Brava Sol de Mayo

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Sol de Mayo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Costa Brava Sol de Mayo

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Costa Brava Sol de Mayo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Costa Brava ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Sol de Mayo ↓ -0.70 (-7.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.