Club Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Club Villa Mitre

Kimberley Mar del Plata

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 33.1% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.85 DRAW 31.5% 3.01 AWAY 17.3% 5.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kimberley Mar del Plata has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Villa Mitre Kimberley Mar del Plata

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Kimberley Mar del Plata, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Villa Mitre Kimberley Mar del Plata

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Kimberley Mar del Plata has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Villa Mitre Kimberley Mar del Plata

The combined recent performance profile favours Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Villa Mitre ↓ -0.15 (-7.5%)

Kimberley Mar del Plata ↑ +1.48 (+37.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.