Antigua & Barbuda vs Anguilla

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Antigua & Barbuda

Anguilla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.5% DRAW 8.5% AWAY 6.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.5% 1.13 DRAW 9.2% 10.50 AWAY 5.3% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Anguilla

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antigua & Barbuda Anguilla

Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Anguilla, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antigua & Barbuda Anguilla

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Anguilla has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antigua & Barbuda Anguilla

The combined recent performance profile favours Anguilla.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Antigua & Barbuda ↓ -0.10 (-7.9%)

Anguilla ↑ +22.00 (+183.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.