Montserrat vs British Virgin Islands

26 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Montserrat

British Virgin Islands

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.5% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 11.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.1% 1.34 DRAW 17.9% 5.25 AWAY 12.0% 7.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Montserrat

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montserrat British Virgin Islands

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 1.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montserrat British Virgin Islands

Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Montserrat has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montserrat British Virgin Islands

The combined recent performance profile favours Montserrat.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Montserrat ↑ +0.17 (+14.8%)

British Virgin Islands ↓ -5.05 (-39.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.