Turks & Caicos Islands vs Montserrat

23 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Turks & Caicos Islands

Montserrat

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.5% DRAW 11.3% AWAY 82.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.7% 17.00 DRAW 11.3% 8.50 AWAY 83.0% 1.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Turks & Caicos Islands

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Turks & Caicos Islands Montserrat

Shots 5.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Turks & Caicos Islands, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Turks & Caicos Islands Montserrat

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Montserrat has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Turks & Caicos Islands Montserrat

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Turks & Caicos Islands ↑ +8.00 (+88.9%)

Montserrat ↓ -0.06 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.