Belize vs St. Vincent/Grenadines

30 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Belize

St. Vincent/Grenadines

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.64 DRAW 27.5% 3.36 AWAY 37.5% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Belize

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belize St. Vincent/Grenadines

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belize St. Vincent/Grenadines

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Belize has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belize St. Vincent/Grenadines

The combined recent performance profile favours Belize.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Belize ↑ +0.27 (+11.2%)

St. Vincent/Grenadines ↓ -0.17 (-6.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.