French Guiana vs Sint Maarten

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

French Guiana

Sint Maarten

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% 1.93 DRAW 24.7% 3.90 AWAY 25.4% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: French Guiana

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

French Guiana Sint Maarten

Shots 2.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

French Guiana Sint Maarten

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.3

French Guiana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

French Guiana Sint Maarten

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

French Guiana ↑ +0.19 (+11.0%)

Sint Maarten ↑ +0.30 (+8.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.