Sint Maarten vs Belize

27 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Sint Maarten

Belize

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 46.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% 3.17 DRAW 26.4% 3.54 AWAY 44.2% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Belize has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sint Maarten Belize

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Belize, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sint Maarten Belize

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sint Maarten Belize

The combined recent performance profile favours Belize.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sint Maarten ↓ -0.06 (-1.9%)

Belize ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.