Bonaire vs Grenada

03 Oct 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.4 pp

Bonaire

Grenada

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% 4.60 DRAW 25.5% 3.67 AWAY 54.1% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bonaire clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.8% win probability, compared with 20.4% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bonaire

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bonaire Grenada

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bonaire Grenada

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 8.0

Bonaire has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bonaire Grenada

The combined recent performance profile favours Bonaire.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Bonaire ↑ +0.65 (+16.3%)

Grenada ↓ -0.14 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.