St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba

02 Oct 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

St. Kitts and Nevis

Cuba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 57.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.4% 5.50 DRAW 24.6% 3.89 AWAY 58.0% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Cuba has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

St. Kitts and Nevis Cuba

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St. Kitts and Nevis Cuba

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Cuba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St. Kitts and Nevis Cuba

The combined recent performance profile favours Cuba.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

St. Kitts and Nevis ↑ +1.79 (+48.2%)

Cuba ↓ -0.30 (-15.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.