St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada

29 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.2 pp

St. Kitts and Nevis

Grenada

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 2.91 DRAW 25.3% 3.66 AWAY 42.9% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates St. Kitts and Nevis substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.1% win probability, compared with 31.8% implied by the market. The 7.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

St. Kitts and Nevis has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

St. Kitts and Nevis Grenada

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours St. Kitts and Nevis, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St. Kitts and Nevis Grenada

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 8.3

St. Kitts and Nevis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St. Kitts and Nevis Grenada

The combined recent performance profile favours St. Kitts and Nevis.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

St. Kitts and Nevis ↓ -1.09 (-27.2%)

Grenada ↑ +0.55 (+33.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.