Guadeloupe vs Barbados

28 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Guadeloupe

Barbados

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 25.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% 2.04 DRAW 28.4% 3.30 AWAY 25.7% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guadeloupe

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guadeloupe Barbados

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Guadeloupe, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guadeloupe Barbados

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Barbados has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guadeloupe Barbados

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Guadeloupe ↑ +0.64 (+45.7%)

Barbados ↓ -3.90 (-51.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.