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CONCACAF Nations League ·

Dominica vs Puerto Rico

28 Sep 2026 · 02:00
NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp
Dominica
Puerto Rico
HOME 22.9% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 53.2%
HOME 21.0% 4.54 DRAW 23.8% 4.00 AWAY 55.1% 1.73

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Dominica has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Dominica Puerto Rico
Shots 2.5 · On target 0.3 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours Dominica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Dominica Puerto Rico
Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0

Dominica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Dominica Puerto Rico

The combined recent performance profile favours Dominica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dominica ↑ +1.55 (+56.4%)
Puerto Rico ↓ -0.30 (-14.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.