Martinique vs Honduras

03 Oct 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Martinique

Honduras

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 48.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% 4.47 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 51.3% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Honduras

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Martinique Honduras

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Honduras, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Martinique Honduras

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Martinique has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Martinique Honduras

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Martinique ↑ +1.17 (+32.9%)

Honduras ↓ -0.28 (-13.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.