Jamaica vs Honduras

29 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Jamaica

Honduras

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 23.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.88 DRAW 25.6% 3.71 AWAY 23.8% 3.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jamaica

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jamaica Honduras

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Jamaica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jamaica Honduras

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jamaica Honduras

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jamaica ↑ +0.09 (+4.8%)

Honduras ↑ +0.94 (+24.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.