Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic

28 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Trinidad & Tobago

Dominican Republic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 40.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.55 DRAW 25.9% 3.68 AWAY 36.7% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dominican Republic relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.6% win probability, compared with 36.7% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Dominican Republic has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trinidad & Tobago Dominican Republic

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Dominican Republic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trinidad & Tobago Dominican Republic

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Dominican Republic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trinidad & Tobago Dominican Republic

The combined recent performance profile favours Dominican Republic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Trinidad & Tobago ↑ +0.42 (+20.4%)

Dominican Republic ↓ -0.53 (-16.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.