Curacao vs Nicaragua

28 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Curacao

Nicaragua

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.7% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 11.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.5% 1.40 DRAW 19.7% 4.87 AWAY 11.8% 8.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Curacao

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Curacao Nicaragua

Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Curacao, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Curacao Nicaragua

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Curacao Nicaragua

The combined recent performance profile favours Curacao.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Curacao ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Nicaragua ↑ +0.10 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.