SE Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

SE Belford Roxo

Santa Cruz RJ

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 2.97 DRAW 25.6% 3.73 AWAY 42.3% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: SE Belford Roxo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SE Belford Roxo Santa Cruz RJ

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SE Belford Roxo Santa Cruz RJ

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.3

SE Belford Roxo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SE Belford Roxo Santa Cruz RJ

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SE Belford Roxo ↑ +0.09 (+3.1%)

Santa Cruz RJ ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.