Pecsi MFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Pecsi MFC (W)

Ujpest (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 67.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.5% 6.84 DRAW 22.0% 4.50 AWAY 63.5% 1.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ujpest (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.0% win probability, compared with 63.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ujpest (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pecsi MFC (W) Ujpest (W)

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Ujpest (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pecsi MFC (W) Ujpest (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Ujpest (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pecsi MFC (W) Ujpest (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Ujpest (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Pecsi MFC (W) ↑ +2.74 (+66.8%)

Ujpest (W) ↓ -0.09 (-5.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.