Atlas (W) vs Leon (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 03:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Atlas (W)

Leon (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 49.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% 3.25 DRAW 25.2% 3.55 AWAY 47.3% 1.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leon (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atlas (W) Leon (W)

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Leon (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atlas (W) Leon (W)

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atlas (W) Leon (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Leon (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atlas (W) = (0.0%)

Leon (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.