Santos Laguna (W) vs Puebla (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Santos Laguna (W)

Puebla (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.4% DRAW 15.7% AWAY 14.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% 1.38 DRAW 16.7% 5.74 AWAY 14.1% 6.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Santos Laguna (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos Laguna (W) Puebla (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Santos Laguna (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos Laguna (W) Puebla (W)

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 7.8

Puebla (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos Laguna (W) Puebla (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Santos Laguna (W) = (0.0%)

Puebla (W) ↑ +1.90 (+35.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.