Tigres UANL (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 02:06

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Tigres UANL (W)

Atletico San Luis (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.2% DRAW 6.8% AWAY 5.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.1% 1.10 DRAW 7.9% 12.18 AWAY 5.0% 19.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tigres UANL (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tigres UANL (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

Shots 15.5 · On target 7.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tigres UANL (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tigres UANL (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tigres UANL (W) ↑ +0.04 (+3.6%)

Atletico San Luis (W) ↓ -4.00 (-17.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.