Puebla (W) vs Monterrey (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Puebla (W)

Monterrey (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.3% DRAW 3.0% AWAY 95.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.9% 51.00 DRAW 4.2% 23.00 AWAY 93.9% 1.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Monterrey (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puebla (W) Monterrey (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 22.8 · On target 13.0

Recent attacking output favours Monterrey (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puebla (W) Monterrey (W)

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Monterrey (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puebla (W) Monterrey (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Monterrey (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Puebla (W) ↑ +38.50 (+308.0%)

Monterrey (W) ↓ -0.11 (-9.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.