Leon (W) vs Juarez FC (W)

22 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Leon (W)

Juarez FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.55 DRAW 26.4% 3.62 AWAY 36.2% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leon (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leon (W) Juarez FC (W)

Shots 15.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Leon (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leon (W) Juarez FC (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 0.8

Juarez FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leon (W) Juarez FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leon (W) = (0.0%)

Juarez FC (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.