Atletico San Luis (W) vs Pachuca (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

Atletico San Luis (W)

Pachuca (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.8% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 55.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% 5.10 DRAW 21.0% 4.53 AWAY 60.4% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico San Luis (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 22.8% win probability, compared with 18.6% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico San Luis (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico San Luis (W) Pachuca (W)

Shots 16.5 · On target 8.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Atletico San Luis (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico San Luis (W) Pachuca (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico San Luis (W) Pachuca (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico San Luis (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico San Luis (W) = (0.0%)

Pachuca (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.