Unam Pumas (W) vs Puebla (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Unam Pumas (W)

Puebla (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 91.3% DRAW 5.6% AWAY 3.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 88.8% 1.08 DRAW 7.3% 13.19 AWAY 3.9% 24.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Unam Pumas (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unam Pumas (W) Puebla (W)

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unam Pumas (W) Puebla (W)

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 11.5

Unam Pumas (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unam Pumas (W) Puebla (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Unam Pumas (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Unam Pumas (W) ↑ +0.03 (+2.9%)

Puebla (W) ↓ -1.54 (-5.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.