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Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

Limianos vs Rebordosa

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp
Limianos
Rebordosa
HOME 41.8% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 28.2%
HOME 39.6% 2.35 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 30.3% 3.08

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Limianos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Limianos Rebordosa
Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Limianos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Limianos Rebordosa
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Limianos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Limianos Rebordosa

The combined recent performance profile favours Limianos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Limianos = (0.0%)
Rebordosa ↑ +0.33 (+11.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.