Atlante (W) vs Queretaro (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 23:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Atlante (W)

Queretaro (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 29.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.21 DRAW 27.3% 3.46 AWAY 30.0% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Queretaro (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atlante (W) Queretaro (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Queretaro (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atlante (W) Queretaro (W)

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Atlante (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atlante (W) Queretaro (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Atlante (W) ↑ +0.39 (+21.7%)

Queretaro (W) ↓ -0.78 (-19.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.