Dayrout vs Ismaily SC

01 Oct 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Dayrout

Ismaily SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.9% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 53.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 4.81 DRAW 29.6% 3.11 AWAY 51.2% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ismaily SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.7% win probability, compared with 51.2% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ismaily SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dayrout Ismaily SC

Shots 5.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Ismaily SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dayrout Ismaily SC

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Ismaily SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dayrout Ismaily SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ismaily SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Dayrout ↑ +0.71 (+17.3%)

Ismaily SC ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.