Haras El Hedoud vs Dayrout

25 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Haras El Hedoud

Dayrout

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.2% DRAW 15.6% AWAY 4.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.5% 1.22 DRAW 17.2% 5.50 AWAY 5.3% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Haras El Hedoud relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 80.2% win probability, compared with 77.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Haras El Hedoud has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Haras El Hedoud Dayrout

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Haras El Hedoud, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Haras El Hedoud Dayrout

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Haras El Hedoud has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Haras El Hedoud Dayrout

The combined recent performance profile favours Haras El Hedoud.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Haras El Hedoud ↓ -0.12 (-8.8%)

Dayrout ↑ +5.00 (+38.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.