El Entag El Harby vs Tanta

25 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

El Entag El Harby

Tanta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 33.2% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% 2.48 DRAW 32.8% 2.85 AWAY 29.5% 3.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for El Entag El Harby relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.2% win probability, compared with 37.7% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

El Entag El Harby has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Entag El Harby Tanta

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours El Entag El Harby, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Entag El Harby Tanta

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8

El Entag El Harby has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Entag El Harby Tanta

The combined recent performance profile favours El Entag El Harby.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

El Entag El Harby ↑ +0.28 (+12.7%)

Tanta ↓ -0.63 (-16.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.